An Action Plan for Solving Our Climate Crisis Now

1.0
Electrify Transportation
Reduce 8 gigatons of transportation emissions to 2 gigatons by 2050.
1.1
Price

Achieve price parity between EVs and gas-powered vehicles in the U.S. by 2024, in India and China by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

$54,288 (average EV) vs. $47,209 (average full-size car) in the U.S.

Source: Kelley Blue Book, 2023

1.2
Cars

Increase EV sales to 50% of all new car sales by 2030, 95% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
On Track

EV share of car sales was 17.7% in 2023

(BEVs and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

1.3
Buses

Electrify all new buses by 2025.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

43% of new bus purchases were electric in 2023

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.4
Trucks

Increase sales of zero-emissions medium and heavy trucks to 30% of all new truck sales by 2030; 95% by 2045.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Electric share of global truck sales was 2% in 2023

(BEVs, FCVs, and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.5
Miles ↓ 5 Gt

Increase miles driven by electric vehicles (two- and three-wheelers, cars, buses, and trucks) to 50% of the global total by 2040, 95% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

EV global share of miles driven across road vehicles in 2022: 10.4%

(BEVs, FCVs, and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.6
Planes ↓ 0.3 Gt

Increase low-carbon fuel (SAF) to 20% of all aviation fuel by 2025; zero-emissions fuel to 40% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

0.4% of fuel use is low carbon (SAF)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

1.7
Maritime ↓ 0.6 Gt

Shift all new construction to “zero-ready” ships by 2030; zero out emissions for the shipping industry by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Zero percent of new ships are carbon-neutral

Source: Global Martime Forum, 2023

2.0
Decarbonize the Grid
Reduce 24 gigatons of global electricity and heating emissions to 3 gigatons by 2050.
2.1
Zero Emissions ↓ 16.5 Gt

Tap emissions-free sources to generate 50% of electricity worldwide by 2025, 90% by 2035.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

39% of electricity came from emissions free sources in 2022

Source: Energy Institute, 2023

2.2
Solar & Wind

Make solar and wind cheaper than fossil fuels in all countries by 2025.

Updated June 2024
On Track

59% of the world’s population lives in nations where renewable sources are cheaper than fossil fuels

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

2.3
Storage

Electricity storage drops below $50 per kWh for short duration (4–24 hours) by 2025, $10 per kWh for long duration (14–30 days) by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Short-term storage: $263/kWh

Long-term storage: New technologies needed

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

2.4
Coal & Gas

Eliminate new coal and gas plants from 2024 on; retire or zero out emissions in existing plants by 2025 for coal and by 2035 for gas.*

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Now in operation globally: 6,580 coal-fired plants and 9,278 gas and oil plants

Source: Global Energy Monitor, 2024

As of 2023, separate figures for oil and gas plants are not available.

 

2.5
Methane Emissions ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce flaring and eliminate leaks and venting from coal, oil, and gas sites by 2025.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Methane emissions from the energy sector were 3 gigatons in 2023

2.6
Heating & Cooking ↓ 1.5 Gt

Cut fossil fuels for heating and cooking in half by 2040.*

Updated April 2024
Failing

In 2021, building heating generated 2.5 Gt of emissions and over 7 billion people used fossil fuels for cooking

2.7
Cleaner Economy

Triple the ratio of GDP to fossil fuel consumption.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Global average: $241 of GDP per Exajoule of Fossil Fuel Consumption

3.0
Fix Food
Reduce 9 gigatons of agricultural emissions to 2 gigatons by 2050.
3.1
Farm Soils ↓ 2 Gt

Improve soil health by increasing carbon content in topsoils to a minimum of 3% by 2035.

Updated May 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

3.2
Fertilizers ↓ 0.5 Gt

Stop overuse of nitrogen-based fertilizers and develop cleaner alternatives to cut emissions in half by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

The world uses 65.5 kilograms per hectare of nitrogen-based fertilizers

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization and Our World in Data, 2023

3.3
Cows ↓ 3 Gt

Cut emissions from beef and dairy consumption by 25% by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

3.3 gigatons of emissions from beef and dairy in 2021

3.4
Rice ↓ 0.5 Gt

Reduce methane and nitrous oxide from rice farming by 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

1.1 gigaton of CO2e resulting from rice production

Source: Our World in Data, 2024

3.5
Food Waste ↓ 1 Gt

Cut food waste to 10% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

38% of food in the US is wasted

Source: ReFed, 2022

4.0
Protect Nature
Go from 6 gigatons of emissions to -1 gigatons by 2050.
4.1
Forests ↓ 6 Gt

Achieve net zero deforestation by 2030; end logging and other destructive practices in primary forests.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

17.6 million hectares of permanent tree cover loss

Source: Global Forest Watch, 2022

4.2
Oceans ↓ 1 Gt

Protect 30% of oceans by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

8.2% of coastal oceans are protected

Source: Protected Planet, 2024

4.3
Lands

Expand protected lands to 30% by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

16% of global lands are protected

Source: Protected Planet, 2024

5.0
Clean Up Industry
Reduce 12 gigatons of industrial emissions to 4 gigatons by 2050.
5.1
Steel ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce emissions from steel production 50% by 2030, 90% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

1.9 metric tons of CO2 per metric ton of crude steel cast

Source: WorldSteel, 2023

5.2
Cement ↓ 2 Gt

Reduce emissions from cement production 25% by 2030, 90% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

0.6 metric tons of CO2 per metric ton of cement produced

5.3
Other Industries ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce emissions from other industrial sources (primarily plastics, chemicals, paper, aluminum, glass, and apparel) 60% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

5 gigatons emitted from other industries

Source: Climate TRACE, 2024

6.0
Remove Carbon
Remove 10 gigatons of carbon dioxide per year from the atmosphere.
6.1
Nature-Based Removal ↓ 5 Gt

Remove at least 3 gigatons per year by 2030 and 5 gigatons by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

0.02 gigatons of nature-based carbon removal being tracked

Source: Climate Focus, 2024

6.2
Engineered Removal ↓ 5 Gt

Remove at least 1 gigaton per year by 2030 and 5 gigatons by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Currently, 0.0002 gigatons are being removed annually

Source: CDR.fyi, 2024

7.1
Net Zero Pledges

Each country commits to reach net zero by 2050.*

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

China: net zero by 2060

U.S.: net zero by 2050

EU: net zero by 2050

India: net zero by 2070

Russia: net zero by 2060

7.2
Action Plans

Each country is on track to cut emissions in half by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

2030 trajectory:

China: 4°C

US: 3°C

EU: 2°C

India: 4°C

Russia: 4°C

 

Source: Climate Action Tracker, 2023

7.3
Carbon Price

National prices on greenhouse gases are set at a minimum of $75 per ton, rising 5% annually.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Global average price: $33 per ton

23% of global emissions are covered by a carbon pricing mechanism

 

7.4
Subsidies

Direct subsidies to fossil fuel companies are eliminated.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

$1.3 trillion in explicit fossil fuel subsidies globally

7.5
Methane

Control flaring, prohibit venting, and mandate prompt capping of methane leaks.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Countries representing 50% of global methane emissions have signed the global methane pledge

Source: Global Methane Pledge, 2024

7.6
Refrigerants

Countries commit to phasing out hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs).

Updated April 2024
On Track

All five major emitters have ratified the Kigali amendment

8.1
Voters

The climate crisis becomes a top-three issue.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Climate’s rank as top issue: seventh globally

Source: Ipsos, 2023

 

8.2
Government

A majority of key government officials support the drive to net zero.

Updated April 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

8.3
Business

100% of Fortune Global 500 companies commit to reach net zero by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

9.2% of Fortune Global 500 Companies have a net zero commitment

Source: Speed & Scale, 2024

Data is pulled from Fortune Global 500 websites to track emissions targets of each corporation

8.4
Education Equity

The world achieves universal primary and secondary education by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

77% of students complete lower secondary school

Source: World Bank, 2023

8.5
Health Equity

The world eliminates gaps in pollution-linked mortality rates among racial and socioeconomic groups by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

2.3 years (global average loss of life due to air pollution)

Source: Air Quality Life Index (AQLI), 2023

8.6
Economic Equity

The global clean energy transition creates 65 million fairly distributed new jobs by 2040, outpacing the loss of fossil fuel jobs.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

13.7 million people employed directly and indirectly

9.1
Batteries

10,000 GWh of batteries are produced annually at less than $80 per kWh by 2035.

Updated April 2024
On Track

Production: 2,592 per GWh

Price: $139 per kWh 

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

9.2
Electricity

The cost of zero-emissions baseload power is lowered to $0.02 per kWh by 2030.

Updated April 2024
On Track

$0.03 per kWh for utility-scale onshore wind

$0.05 per kWh for utility-scale solar PV

9.3
Green Hydrogen

Cost of producing hydrogen from zero-emissions sources drops to $2 per kg by 2030, $1 per kg by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

$2-$12 per kg, not currently produced at scale

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

9.4
Carbon Removal

Cost of engineered carbon dioxide removal falls to $100 per ton by 2030, $50 per ton by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Average of $715 per ton of carbon removed, not at scale

Source: CDR.fyi, 2024

9.5
Carbon-Neutral Fuels

Cost of synthetic fuel drops to $2.50 per gallon for jet fuel and $3.50 for gasoline by 2035.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Jet Fuel: $2.94 (Traditional) vs. $7.35 (Sustainable)

Vehicle Fuel: $4.02 (Diesel) vs. $4.76 (Biodiesel)

Source: International Air Transport Association, BloombergNEF, and Alternative Fuels Data Center, 2023

Diesel and Biodiesel are U.S. prices

10.1
Financial Incentives

Global government support and incentives for clean energy expand to $600 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

10.2
Government R&D

Public investment in sustainability research and development increases to $120 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Low carbon R&D globally: $23 billion

10.3
Venture Capital

Private investment into cleantech startups totals $50 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Achieved

$51 billion invested in climate tech startups

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

10.4
Project Financing

Clean energy project financing rises to $1 trillion per year.

Updated April 2024
On Track

Clean energy financing is at an all-time high, hitting $743 billion

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

10.5
Philanthropy

Philanthropic dollars for tackling emissions grow to $30 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Less than 2% (between $8 billion and $13 billion) of philanthropic giving is dedicated to climate change mitigation

Welcome to Zeroing In by Speed & Scale, where we cut through the noise to deliver a data-driven update on progress toward net zero.

RENEWABLES REACH RECORD: Global Electricity Review 2024, an annual report on the state of the energy transition by think tank Ember, brings good news. Projections show that the world is extremely close to peak emissions in the power sector—meaning that in 2024, fossil fuel generation is expected to drop, with larger declines projected in subsequent years.

BUT, FOSSIL FUELS ARE PUTTING UP A FIGHT: As a result, we can look forward to emissions reductions from the power sector, the single largest source of greenhouse gases. The world is now generating record amounts of energy from renewable sources, especially solar and wind, which are powering a larger proportion of the grid in spite of growing demand. In 2023, renewables made up more than 30 percent of the global electricity mix—a recording-breaking statistic. But 2023 also saw a rise in drought conditions, which led to a sharp decline in hydropower generation, which plunged to a five-year low. The shortfall in hydropower triggered a troubling surge in coal generation, resulting in a se in global power sector emissions.

OKRs in the News

🚗 1.0 – Electrify Transportation

  • Biden Sets Sights on SAF: The Biden administration announced rules for the sustainable jet fuel tax credits in the Inflation Reduction Act. Since some types of SAF can be produced with corn and other farmed products, the rules were a win for climate-friendly agricultural practices (Washington Post).

  • Sustainable Shipping: The largest electric container ship built to date, expected to save 3,900kg (more than four tons) of fuel for every 100 nautical miles sailed, began regular trips between two cities in China (South China Morning Post).

  • China Steps Up EVs: China continues to race ahead on sales and production of electric vehicles. A new generation of larger and more technologically advanced EV models will present even stiffer competition in the global market (New York Times).

💡 2.0 – Decarbonize the Grid

  • Upgrading the Grid: To keep pace with growing global demand for electricity, the world’s power grids will need upgraded, high-voltage transmission lines. The White House and U.S. Department of Energy announced measures to accelerate development of the new lines, including streamlined permitting, new funding, and programs to leverage cutting-edge tech which will help optimize the performance of our grid (NRDC).

  • Goodbye, Gas-Fired Ovens: The future of New York City pizza is in electric ovens. As of April, a citywide ordinance now requires wood- and coal-fired ovens to have expensive upgrades to reduce emissions. As a result, New York pizza makers are being pushed to make the switch to electric (New York Times).

  • Solar Survives the Sunset: Giant batteries are helping Californians rely on solar energy even after the sun goes down. On a recent April evening, batteries supplied more than one-fifth of California’s electricity (New York Times).

🐄 3.0 – Fix Food

  • World Bank Aims to Fix Food: A new World Bank paper argues that wealthy countries should divert their spending from red meat and dairy products to more sustainable alternatives (poultry, fruit, vegetables), calling it “one of the most cost-effective ways to save the planet from climate change,” (Politico).

  • Ban on Lab-Grown Meat: Florida Governor Ron DeSantis banned lab-grown meat for distribution in the state (BBC) and Alabama Governor Kay Ivey followed suit (WIRED).

  • Food Waste Gone Wild: The 2024 UN Food Waste Index reports that over one trillion dollars worth of food gets thrown away every year. The report emphasizes that food waste results from systemic inefficiencies and demands policy action for change (Vox).

🌳 4.0 – Protect Nature

  • As Nature Declines, Disease Rises: A new international analysis found that negative trends around the globe, such as biodiversity loss and pollution, will increase risk of contracting infectious diseases (Conservation International).

  • Florida Connects Nature: The Florida Wildlife Corridor, while still a work in progress, aims to connect parks, open land, and ranches into a broad swath of protected land. A new report says the Corridor could be a keystone for Florida’s fight against the most destructive consequences of climate change (Inside Climate News).

  • Conservation at Scale: Owyhee Canyonlands, the “largest conservation opportunity left in the continental U.S.,” is under threat from expanding suburbs and new mine construction. Environmentalists are urging President Biden to use the Antiquities Act to conserve it (Inside Climate News).

  • Seas Rising in the South: The U.S. South is facing some of the most rapid sea level rises on Earth. For example, the average sea level in Charleston, South Carolina, has risen by 7 inches since 2010 (Washington Post).

🧱 5.0 – Clean Up Industry

  • Clean Hydrogen: Clean hydrogen could be decisive in reducing emissions in hard-to-abate sectors such as steel. Along with cutting-edge tech development, forward-looking policies—notably the Inflation Reduction Act’s clean hydrogen production tax credit—will help to scale it (Forbes).

🧹 6.0 – Remove Carbon

  • Pioneering Direct Air Capture: Based outside Reykjavik, Iceland, Mammoth, the world’s largest direct air capture plant, signals a significant advancement in carbon capture technology. With the capacity to permanently remove up to 36,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide annually, Mammoth’s construction in just 18 months underscores the industry’s potential for scalability and efficiency (E&E News).

  • Biggest Deal on Carbon Removal: Microsoft signed the largest-ever carbon removal deal, clocking in at 3.3 million tons. The tech giant will begin receiving carbon removal certificates in 2029, when its partner plant, Stockholm Exergi, is fully operational (ESG Today).

  • Limits to Carbon Removal Capacity: A new study warns that current plans to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere are insufficient to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. The study, published in Nature Climate Change, identifies a “CDR gap” between national climate plans and what would be needed to meet the 1.5°C target (Carbon Brief).

🏛️ 7.0 – Win Politics and Policy

  • Biden Tariffs: President Biden’s announcement of a 100 percent tariff on Chinese-made electric vehicles marks a big escalation of trade tensions between the U.S. and China. The new policy aims to protect U.S. manufacturers but could also stifle progress on EV adoption (The Guardian).

  • Streamlining Permitting: The Biden administration released rules to speed the permitting process for clean energy projects. Environmental reviews can now be expedited for projects with a demonstrated, long-term environmental benefit. Accelerating the permitting process for transmission lines, electric vehicle stations, and solar farms will be a key to decarbonization and reaching net zero in time (New York Times).

  • China Dominates in Clean Tech, but the U.S. is Beginning to Catch Up: In a new report, the International Energy Agency finds that China accounted for 75 percent of global clean technology manufacturing in 2023, down from 85 percent in 2022. The major factor? The Inflation Reduction Act boosted investment in the United States (International Energy Agency).

  • FERC Directs Shift Toward Renewables: The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s landmark grid rule requires U.S. grid operators to plan new transmission infrastructure for increased renewable energy delivery and resilience against extreme weather, marking a significant move toward a low-carbon future (E&E News).

  • Permitting Talks Live!: Senate Energy and Natural Resources Chair Joe Manchin affirmed that discussions on permitting reform are ongoing. His statement contrasts with recent doubts raised by Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, who is skeptical of rushing legislation without considering all impacts, especially to the environment (E&E News).

🏃 8.0 – Turn Movements into Action

  • Microsoft Backs $10 Billion of Renewables: Microsoft agreed to fund $10 billion in renewable electricity projects to support the company’s increased electrical requirements from cloud computing and artificial intelligence (Financial Times).

  • Investigating Corporate Green Claims: Even as large corporate brands invest millions of dollars into carbon credits, their climate impact is in doubt. An investigation by the BBC finds that many of these carbon emission offset projects have serious issues (BBC).

9.0 – Innovate!

  • Hydrogen Takes Off in Germany: Backed by federal investment, Germany’s steel belt is transitioning to the production of green hydrogen (New York Times).

  • Waste + Bacteria = SAF: A new biofuel developed from bacteria in rabbit droppings may be the secret to decarbonizing the industrial and aviation sectors (Wall Street Journal).

  • The Top 25 Climate Technologies, Explained: With innovation surging across the climate tech sector, this blog post examines the top 25 climate technologies for reducing carbon emissions, with helpful jargon-free overviews (Dave Margulis On Climate).

💰 10.0 – Invest!

  • Banking Regulations May Stem Clean Energy: As the international community debates changes to banking regulations, known as Basel III endgame, renewable energy developers warn that the proposal to raise the amount of cash banks need to keep on hand will cut investment into the clean energy sector, stifling innovation and deployment (CNBC).

  • Weather Volatility Prompts New Market: Companies and investors are taking note of the increased intensity and frequency of climate-induced natural disasters and extreme weather patterns. As a result, the market for “weather derivatives” has exploded, with  trade volume jumping more than 260 percent in 2023 (Bloomberg).

  • A Guide to Early-Stage Climate Technology: Many of the world’s most pressing climate challenges already have solutions. The critical step today is to scale these innovations to commercial levels. A new white paper offers a guide to prepare early-stage climate startups to reach project scale (Stanford Law School).

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