An Action Plan for Solving Our Climate Crisis Now

1.0
Electrify Transportation
Reduce 8 gigatons of transportation emissions to 2 gigatons by 2050.
1.1
Price

Achieve price parity between EVs and gas-powered vehicles in the U.S. by 2024, in India and China by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

$54,288 (average EV) vs. $47,209 (average full-size car) in the U.S.

Source: Kelley Blue Book, 2023

1.2
Cars

Increase EV sales to 50% of all new car sales by 2030, 95% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
On Track

EV share of car sales was 17.7% in 2023

(BEVs and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

1.3
Buses

Electrify all new buses by 2025.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

43% of new bus purchases were electric in 2023

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.4
Trucks

Increase sales of zero-emissions medium and heavy trucks to 30% of all new truck sales by 2030; 95% by 2045.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Electric share of global truck sales was 2% in 2023

(BEVs, FCVs, and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.5
Miles ↓ 5 Gt

Increase miles driven by electric vehicles (two- and three-wheelers, cars, buses, and trucks) to 50% of the global total by 2040, 95% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

EV global share of miles driven across road vehicles in 2022: 10.4%

(BEVs, FCVs, and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.6
Planes ↓ 0.3 Gt

Increase low-carbon fuel (SAF) to 20% of all aviation fuel by 2025; zero-emissions fuel to 40% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

0.4% of fuel use is low carbon (SAF)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

1.7
Maritime ↓ 0.6 Gt

Shift all new construction to “zero-ready” ships by 2030; zero out emissions for the shipping industry by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Zero percent of new ships are carbon-neutral

Source: Global Martime Forum, 2023

2.0
Decarbonize the Grid
Reduce 24 gigatons of global electricity and heating emissions to 3 gigatons by 2050.
2.1
Zero Emissions ↓ 16.5 Gt

Tap emissions-free sources to generate 50% of electricity worldwide by 2025, 90% by 2035.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

39% of electricity came from emissions free sources in 2022

Source: Energy Institute, 2023

2.2
Solar & Wind

Make solar and wind cheaper than fossil fuels in all countries by 2025.

Updated June 2024
On Track

59% of the world’s population lives in nations where renewable sources are cheaper than fossil fuels

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

2.3
Storage

Electricity storage drops below $50 per kWh for short duration (4–24 hours) by 2025, $10 per kWh for long duration (14–30 days) by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Short-term storage: $263/kWh

Long-term storage: New technologies needed

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

2.4
Coal & Gas

Eliminate new coal and gas plants from 2024 on; retire or zero out emissions in existing plants by 2025 for coal and by 2035 for gas.*

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Now in operation globally: 6,580 coal-fired plants and 9,278 gas and oil plants

Source: Global Energy Monitor, 2024

As of 2023, separate figures for oil and gas plants are not available.

 

2.5
Methane Emissions ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce flaring and eliminate leaks and venting from coal, oil, and gas sites by 2025.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Methane emissions from the energy sector were 3 gigatons in 2023

2.6
Heating & Cooking ↓ 1.5 Gt

Cut fossil fuels for heating and cooking in half by 2040.*

Updated April 2024
Failing

In 2021, building heating generated 2.5 Gt of emissions and over 7 billion people used fossil fuels for cooking

2.7
Cleaner Economy

Triple the ratio of GDP to fossil fuel consumption.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Global average: $241 of GDP per Exajoule of Fossil Fuel Consumption

3.0
Fix Food
Reduce 9 gigatons of agricultural emissions to 2 gigatons by 2050.
3.1
Farm Soils ↓ 2 Gt

Improve soil health by increasing carbon content in topsoils to a minimum of 3% by 2035.

Updated May 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

3.2
Fertilizers ↓ 0.5 Gt

Stop overuse of nitrogen-based fertilizers and develop cleaner alternatives to cut emissions in half by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

The world uses 65.5 kilograms per hectare of nitrogen-based fertilizers

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization and Our World in Data, 2023

3.3
Cows ↓ 3 Gt

Cut emissions from beef and dairy consumption by 25% by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

3.3 gigatons of emissions from beef and dairy in 2021

3.4
Rice ↓ 0.5 Gt

Reduce methane and nitrous oxide from rice farming by 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

1.1 gigaton of CO2e resulting from rice production

Source: Our World in Data, 2024

3.5
Food Waste ↓ 1 Gt

Cut food waste to 10% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

38% of food in the US is wasted

Source: ReFed, 2022

4.0
Protect Nature
Go from 6 gigatons of emissions to -1 gigatons by 2050.
4.1
Forests ↓ 6 Gt

Achieve net zero deforestation by 2030; end logging and other destructive practices in primary forests.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

17.6 million hectares of permanent tree cover loss

Source: Global Forest Watch, 2022

4.2
Oceans ↓ 1 Gt

Protect 30% of oceans by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

8.2% of coastal oceans are protected

Source: Protected Planet, 2024

4.3
Lands

Expand protected lands to 30% by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

16% of global lands are protected

Source: Protected Planet, 2024

5.0
Clean Up Industry
Reduce 12 gigatons of industrial emissions to 4 gigatons by 2050.
5.1
Steel ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce emissions from steel production 50% by 2030, 90% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

1.9 metric tons of CO2 per metric ton of crude steel cast

Source: WorldSteel, 2023

5.2
Cement ↓ 2 Gt

Reduce emissions from cement production 25% by 2030, 90% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

0.6 metric tons of CO2 per metric ton of cement produced

5.3
Other Industries ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce emissions from other industrial sources (primarily plastics, chemicals, paper, aluminum, glass, and apparel) 60% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

5 gigatons emitted from other industries

Source: Climate TRACE, 2024

6.0
Remove Carbon
Remove 10 gigatons of carbon dioxide per year from the atmosphere.
6.1
Nature-Based Removal ↓ 5 Gt

Remove at least 3 gigatons per year by 2030 and 5 gigatons by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

0.02 gigatons of nature-based carbon removal being tracked

Source: Climate Focus, 2024

6.2
Engineered Removal ↓ 5 Gt

Remove at least 1 gigaton per year by 2030 and 5 gigatons by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Currently, 0.0002 gigatons are being removed annually

Source: CDR.fyi, 2024

7.1
Net Zero Pledges

Each country commits to reach net zero by 2050.*

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

China: net zero by 2060

U.S.: net zero by 2050

EU: net zero by 2050

India: net zero by 2070

Russia: net zero by 2060

7.2
Action Plans

Each country is on track to cut emissions in half by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

2030 trajectory:

China: 4°C

US: 3°C

EU: 2°C

India: 4°C

Russia: 4°C

 

Source: Climate Action Tracker, 2023

7.3
Carbon Price

National prices on greenhouse gases are set at a minimum of $75 per ton, rising 5% annually.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Global average price: $33 per ton

23% of global emissions are covered by a carbon pricing mechanism

 

7.4
Subsidies

Direct subsidies to fossil fuel companies are eliminated.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

$1.3 trillion in explicit fossil fuel subsidies globally

7.5
Methane

Control flaring, prohibit venting, and mandate prompt capping of methane leaks.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Countries representing 50% of global methane emissions have signed the global methane pledge

Source: Global Methane Pledge, 2024

7.6
Refrigerants

Countries commit to phasing out hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs).

Updated April 2024
On Track

All five major emitters have ratified the Kigali amendment

8.1
Voters

The climate crisis becomes a top-three issue.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Climate’s rank as top issue: seventh globally

Source: Ipsos, 2023

 

8.2
Government

A majority of key government officials support the drive to net zero.

Updated April 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

8.3
Business

100% of Fortune Global 500 companies commit to reach net zero by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

9.2% of Fortune Global 500 Companies have a net zero commitment

Source: Speed & Scale, 2024

Data is pulled from Fortune Global 500 websites to track emissions targets of each corporation

8.4
Education Equity

The world achieves universal primary and secondary education by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

77% of students complete lower secondary school

Source: World Bank, 2023

8.5
Health Equity

The world eliminates gaps in pollution-linked mortality rates among racial and socioeconomic groups by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

2.3 years (global average loss of life due to air pollution)

Source: Air Quality Life Index (AQLI), 2023

8.6
Economic Equity

The global clean energy transition creates 65 million fairly distributed new jobs by 2040, outpacing the loss of fossil fuel jobs.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

13.7 million people employed directly and indirectly

9.1
Batteries

10,000 GWh of batteries are produced annually at less than $80 per kWh by 2035.

Updated April 2024
On Track

Production: 2,592 per GWh

Price: $139 per kWh 

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

9.2
Electricity

The cost of zero-emissions baseload power is lowered to $0.02 per kWh by 2030.

Updated April 2024
On Track

$0.03 per kWh for utility-scale onshore wind

$0.05 per kWh for utility-scale solar PV

9.3
Green Hydrogen

Cost of producing hydrogen from zero-emissions sources drops to $2 per kg by 2030, $1 per kg by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

$2-$12 per kg, not currently produced at scale

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

9.4
Carbon Removal

Cost of engineered carbon dioxide removal falls to $100 per ton by 2030, $50 per ton by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Average of $715 per ton of carbon removed, not at scale

Source: CDR.fyi, 2024

9.5
Carbon-Neutral Fuels

Cost of synthetic fuel drops to $2.50 per gallon for jet fuel and $3.50 for gasoline by 2035.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Jet Fuel: $2.94 (Traditional) vs. $7.35 (Sustainable)

Vehicle Fuel: $4.02 (Diesel) vs. $4.76 (Biodiesel)

Source: International Air Transport Association, BloombergNEF, and Alternative Fuels Data Center, 2023

Diesel and Biodiesel are U.S. prices

10.1
Financial Incentives

Global government support and incentives for clean energy expand to $600 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

10.2
Government R&D

Public investment in sustainability research and development increases to $120 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Low carbon R&D globally: $23 billion

10.3
Venture Capital

Private investment into cleantech startups totals $50 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Achieved

$51 billion invested in climate tech startups

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

10.4
Project Financing

Clean energy project financing rises to $1 trillion per year.

Updated April 2024
On Track

Clean energy financing is at an all-time high, hitting $743 billion

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

10.5
Philanthropy

Philanthropic dollars for tackling emissions grow to $30 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Less than 2% (between $8 billion and $13 billion) of philanthropic giving is dedicated to climate change mitigation

Welcome to Zeroing In by Speed & Scale, where we cut through the noise to deliver a data-driven update on progress toward net zero.

ACCELERATING THE NEW: I’m recently back from the Breakthrough Energy Summit. Wow. With over 1,000 innovators, entrepreneurs, policy leaders, and investors in attendance, the excitement at the Summit was palpable and the drive toward solutions energizing (pun intended). Bill Gates said it best: “We’ll be measured by scale.” Attendees joined sessions and workshops on tackling hard-to-abate sectors and expanding the market for clean technologies. The event was held near the city’s docks, in a restored warehouse. But instead of age-old commodities lining the halls, BEV portfolio companies showcased their innovations, from the latest in fusion reactors to new ways to reduce methane emissions from cows. Each of these companies is pursuing a technology with the potential to cut more than 500 million tons of emissions per year, accelerating the new. These kinds of innovations give us hope.


– Ryan Panchadsaram, co-author of Speed & Scale

OKRs in the News

🚗 1.0 – Electrify Transportation

  • Electric Flight Takes Off: Europe is set to launch its first electric passenger flights, marking a significant milestone in sustainable aviation. The one-passenger trial runs, set for July and August, will demonstrate the potential to reduce carbon emissions with electric aircraft (Skift).

  • Canada’s Tariff Talk: Canada is considering new tariffs on Chinese EVs to protect its domestic auto industry and address market imbalances amid rising trade tensions (MarketWatch).

  • China’s EV Conundrum: From 2009 to 2023, new data estimates subsidies for the Chinese electric vehicle sector totaled a staggering $231 billion, significantly boosting the industry’s growth. Subsidies tripled since 2018 and continue to rise sharply, underscoring the massive financial support fueling China’s EV market expansion (CSIS).

Industrial Policy Spending for China’s EV Sector (US$, billions)

  • Fisker’s Financial Struggles: Facing significant challenges in scaling its operations and securing sufficient funding to compete in the electric vehicle market, EV startup Fisker filed for bankruptcy (Wall Street Journal).

  • Ferrari Goes Electric: Ferrari opened a dedicated solar-powered manufacturing facility for its first fully electric sports car (Electrek).

💡 2.0 – Decarbonize the Grid

  • Solar Splash: The sun took the front cover in a recent edition of The Economist. Driven by technological advancements and falling costs, solar power may become the leading global energy source by the 2040s. The Economist highlighted floating solar power and its range of advantages: efficient land use, higher energy output, and reduced water evaporation (The Economist).

  • Nuclear Nudge: The U.S. Senate passed a bill, which was signed by President Biden, and the Department of Energy proposed a $900 million fund to support next-generation nuclear reactors. They’re expected to be safer, more efficient, and are critical for enhancing energy security and cutting carbon emissions (Reuters and E&E News).

  • Fossil Fuel Dominance: While renewables accounted for 14.6 percent of energy consumption worldwide in 2023, fossil fuels still dominated as the primary source of energy consumption with 81.5 percent, according to the Energy Institute’s Statistical Review of World Energy. The Institute also reports record-high global energy consumption and emissions (Energy Institute).

  • Opening Up the Nuclear Gates: Emphasizing the potential of advanced nuclear reactors to provide reliable, zero-emissions energy, Bill Gates announced plans to invest billions in next-generation nuclear power to combat climate change (Bloomberg).

🐄 3.0 – Fix Food

  • Japan Tackles Food Waste: To reduce food waste, activists in Japan are challenging convenience stores—which discard huge amounts of edible food due to conservative expiration dates—to improve inventory management and transparency about food waste practices. The activists’ efforts could lower food costs for consumers but court resistance from the convenience store industry (BBC).

  • White House Takes a Big Bite: Roughly 30 percent of the U.S. food supply is thrown away. In response, the Biden administration unveiled its first national plan to combat food waste, a significant source of climate pollution. The federal strategy encourages behavior changes for both consumers and businesses, research on extending shelf life, and increased food donations. But it still lags behind state and global regulations (New York Times).

  • Cow Manure Power: Home to over 1.7 million cows, California aims to tackle climate change by promoting methane digesters that convert cow manure into clean fuel. While the technology could reduce greenhouse gas emissions, they can also pose health risks, such as respiratory issues caused by ammonia emissions, and incentivize unsustainable agricultural practices (Associated Press).

🌳 4.0 – Protect Nature

  • Restoring Ecosystems: The EU took a significant step toward reaching its environmental goals by approving a landmark nature restoration plan after months of wrangling. While the EU had to overcome farmer protests and internal disagreements, they finally adopted this initiative to meet targets for restoring wildlife and habitats, which must cover at least 20 percent of the region’s land and sea by 2030 (Associated Press).

  • Saving Old Trees: The Biden administration proposed a plan to protect old-growth forests threatened by climate change, advancing measures to restrict logging in these areas. The initiative rejects a blanket prohibition on logging, allowing some tree-cutting to lower wildfire risks (PBS News).

  • An SOS From the Ocean: Protecting the ocean’s health is crucial for our planet’s well-being. This TED Radio Hour episode dives into the ways we can ensure a sustainable future for our oceans and, subsequently, our planet (NPR).

🧱 5.0 – Clean Up Industry

  • Eco-nomic Overhaul: The passage of the Inflation Reduction Act has spurred investments exceeding $170 billion in clean energy and advanced technologies, leading the U.S. to the cusp of an industrial transformation. In an op-ed published by Time, CEO of Energy Innovation Sonia Aggarwal notes marked efforts to decarbonize manufacturing, develop sustainable supply chains, and integrate AI and other digital tools to increase energy efficiency. Bottom line: The U.S. is moving toward a more sustainable economy (Time).

  • China Slashes Steel: China is imposing crude steel production cuts in Fujian province. This is part of a broader national move to cut a total of 20 million tons per year and thereby reduce energy consumption and carbon emissions (Fastmarkets).

  • Circular Steel Economy: Researchers at the University of Toronto have developed an electrochemical method to recycle steel by removing copper and other impurities from steel scrap, significantly reducing the industry’s carbon emissions. With only 25 percent of steel currently produced from recycled material, the new process could expand the market for high-grade recycled steel (EurekAlert).

  • Concrete Efforts for Cleaner Cement: With cement production contributing about 8 percent of global CO2 emissions, researchers at Harvard Business School have developed an economic framework to identify cost-effective emission reduction strategies. It’s designed to help companies aiming to meet Paris Agreement climate targets amid rising global demand for cement (Harvard Business School)​.

🧹 6.0 – Remove Carbon

  • Cash for Carbon: Salesforce joined Frontier with a $25 million commitment, a corporate buyers’ group committed to carbon removal, while emphasizing the challenges in scaling these carbon removal solutions (GreenBiz).

  • Results of Big Tech’s Green Push: Big tech’s investment in climate removal technologies continues to pay off. Climate-tech companies are now expanding to commercial applications—such as Climeworks’ geothermal-powered Mammoth facility in Iceland, which is expected to remove 36,000 tons of CO2 annually (Newsweek).

  • CO2 Crusher: Carbon removal startup Equatic plans to build a $100 million facility capable of removing 100,000 tons of CO2 annually (Forbes).

🏛️ 7.0 – Win Politics and Policy

  • France Votes For Climate: The results of France’s recent election have provided a sense of relief and optimism among scientists, signaling stronger commitments to environmental protection and sustainable practices (Salon).

  • Labour Party’s Green Surge: The UK’s recent election resulted in a victory for the Labour Party, whose ambitious plans include energy efficiency home upgrades, a windfall tax on oil and gas companies to fund clean energy projects, and a goal to achieve a mostly decarbonized electricity grid by 2030 (Bloomberg).

  • Green Deal Fatigue: The results of the recent European Parliament elections could significantly impact the EU’s climate policies as the changing political landscape raises uncertainties about the EU’s ability to meet its decarbonization targets and maintain its leadership in global climate initiatives (Atlantic Council).

  • Trump’s Coal Silence: As the 2024 election campaign picks up, the New York Times reports that Republican candidate Donald Trump now rarely mentions coal miners or makes promises to revive the coal industry—reflecting the economic and political realities of coal’s decline during and since his first term (New York Times).

  • Green Geopolitics: Climate action is altering global power dynamics, with sustainable practices becoming central to geopolitical power. Countries that invest in green technologies are gaining influence, while traditional energy-rich states are facing new challenges (Foreign Affairs).

🏃 8.0 – Turn Movements into Action

  • Slow Corporate Progress: A CDP study reveals that despite a 44 percent increase in companies reporting a 1.5°C plan since 2022, only 2 percent of those companies provide comprehensive information to guarantee the effectiveness of their emissions-cutting strategies (CDP).

  • Regulatory Pressure: The slow pace of credible climate transition planning has led to increasing regulatory pressure, notably the EU’s new Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (Bloomberg).

  • Energy Access Decline: According to a new report from the International Energy Agency, progress on basic energy access reversed for the first time in a decade. In 2022, 685 million people lacked electricity, 10 million more than in 2021. The biggest factor is population growth in sub-Saharan Africa, which outpaced the building of new electricity infrastructure in the region (International Energy Agency).

9.0 – Innovate!

  • Charging the Future: Stanford researchers developed a new “liquid battery” that significantly improves energy storage capabilities, offering a more efficient and cost-effective solution for renewable energy systems (Stanford News).

  • Hydrogen Heroics: Researchers discovered a new method that makes green hydrogen a more viable clean energy option. By using a catalyst that requires 90 percent less iridium, the method will significantly lower production costs (New Atlas).

OKR Highlight

Speakers at the Breakthrough Energy Ventures Summit continued to highlight the power of innovation in scaling the climate crisis. When addressing the significant energy consumption of AI technology, Bill Gates told attendees that the resulting emissions would be counterbalanced by AI-driven innovations in sustainable energy and carbon reduction. The summit also emphasized the need for transformative technology to remove carbon emissions.


Gates has been a long-time advocate for technology’s potential to address climate challenges, and as the founder of Breakthrough Energy Ventures, he has committed over $3.5 billion to tech startups aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and has invested more than $1 billion to nuclear energy startup Terrapower.


Read more about how we’re tracking innovation across five critical areas at speedandscale.com

💰 10.0 – Invest!

  • Sustainable Investing Gaining Momentum: The world’s richest families are increasingly directing their investments into combating climate change, with nearly half of family offices having some focus on sustainability (Financial Times).

  • Renewables Investment Surge: KKR’s June 2024 infrastructure review highlights a surge in renewable energy investments, thanks to favorable valuations and strong investor interest. The development underscores the potential for sustainable infrastructure, particularly in solar, wind, and battery storage projects, that are driving future growth and resilience (KKR).

  • Battery Boom: Global investment in battery technology is surging, driven by the rapid growth of the EV market. The goal is to improve battery performance, lower costs, and meet rising EV demand, essential for the shift to sustainable transportation (EV Markets Reports).

  • Mega Money: Global energy investment is set to exceed $3 trillion in 2024, with over $2 trillion directed toward clean energy technologies such as renewable power, grids and storage, energy efficiency and end-use, nuclear and other clean power, and low-emissions fuels. This marks a significant shift toward sustainable energy, driven by policy support and the growing need for energy security (International Energy Agency).

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