An Action Plan for Solving Our Climate Crisis Now

1.0
Electrify Transportation
Reduce 8 gigatons of transportation emissions to 2 gigatons by 2050.
1.1
Price

Achieve price parity between EVs and gas-powered vehicles in the U.S. by 2024, in India and China by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

$54,288 (average EV) vs. $47,209 (average full-size car) in the U.S.

Source: Kelley Blue Book, 2023

1.2
Cars

Increase EV sales to 50% of all new car sales by 2030, 95% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
On Track

EV share of car sales was 17.7% in 2023

(BEVs and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

1.3
Buses

Electrify all new buses by 2025.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

43% of new bus purchases were electric in 2023

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.4
Trucks

Increase sales of zero-emissions medium and heavy trucks to 30% of all new truck sales by 2030; 95% by 2045.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Electric share of global truck sales was 2% in 2023

(BEVs, FCVs, and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.5
Miles ↓ 5 Gt

Increase miles driven by electric vehicles (two- and three-wheelers, cars, buses, and trucks) to 50% of the global total by 2040, 95% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

EV global share of miles driven across road vehicles in 2022: 10.4%

(BEVs, FCVs, and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.6
Planes ↓ 0.3 Gt

Increase low-carbon fuel (SAF) to 20% of all aviation fuel by 2025; zero-emissions fuel to 40% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

0.4% of fuel use is low carbon (SAF)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

1.7
Maritime ↓ 0.6 Gt

Shift all new construction to “zero-ready” ships by 2030; zero out emissions for the shipping industry by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Zero percent of new ships are carbon-neutral

Source: Global Martime Forum, 2023

2.0
Decarbonize the Grid
Reduce 24 gigatons of global electricity and heating emissions to 3 gigatons by 2050.
2.1
Zero Emissions ↓ 16.5 Gt

Tap emissions-free sources to generate 50% of electricity worldwide by 2025, 90% by 2035.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

39% of electricity came from emissions free sources in 2022

Source: Energy Institute, 2023

2.2
Solar & Wind

Make solar and wind cheaper than fossil fuels in all countries by 2025.

Updated June 2024
On Track

59% of the world’s population lives in nations where renewable sources are cheaper than fossil fuels

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

2.3
Storage

Electricity storage drops below $50 per kWh for short duration (4–24 hours) by 2025, $10 per kWh for long duration (14–30 days) by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Short-term storage: $263/kWh

Long-term storage: New technologies needed

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

2.4
Coal & Gas

Eliminate new coal and gas plants from 2024 on; retire or zero out emissions in existing plants by 2025 for coal and by 2035 for gas.*

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Now in operation globally: 6,580 coal-fired plants and 9,278 gas and oil plants

Source: Global Energy Monitor, 2024

As of 2023, separate figures for oil and gas plants are not available.

 

2.5
Methane Emissions ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce flaring and eliminate leaks and venting from coal, oil, and gas sites by 2025.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Methane emissions from the energy sector were 3 gigatons in 2023

2.6
Heating & Cooking ↓ 1.5 Gt

Cut fossil fuels for heating and cooking in half by 2040.*

Updated April 2024
Failing

In 2021, building heating generated 2.5 Gt of emissions and over 7 billion people used fossil fuels for cooking

2.7
Cleaner Economy

Triple the ratio of GDP to fossil fuel consumption.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Global average: $241 of GDP per Exajoule of Fossil Fuel Consumption

3.0
Fix Food
Reduce 9 gigatons of agricultural emissions to 2 gigatons by 2050.
3.1
Farm Soils ↓ 2 Gt

Improve soil health by increasing carbon content in topsoils to a minimum of 3% by 2035.

Updated May 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

3.2
Fertilizers ↓ 0.5 Gt

Stop overuse of nitrogen-based fertilizers and develop cleaner alternatives to cut emissions in half by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

The world uses 65.5 kilograms per hectare of nitrogen-based fertilizers

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization and Our World in Data, 2023

3.3
Cows ↓ 3 Gt

Cut emissions from beef and dairy consumption by 25% by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

3.3 gigatons of emissions from beef and dairy in 2021

3.4
Rice ↓ 0.5 Gt

Reduce methane and nitrous oxide from rice farming by 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

1.1 gigaton of CO2e resulting from rice production

Source: Our World in Data, 2024

3.5
Food Waste ↓ 1 Gt

Cut food waste to 10% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

38% of food in the US is wasted

Source: ReFed, 2022

4.0
Protect Nature
Go from 6 gigatons of emissions to -1 gigatons by 2050.
4.1
Forests ↓ 6 Gt

Achieve net zero deforestation by 2030; end logging and other destructive practices in primary forests.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

17.6 million hectares of permanent tree cover loss

Source: Global Forest Watch, 2022

4.2
Oceans ↓ 1 Gt

Protect 30% of oceans by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

8.2% of coastal oceans are protected

Source: Protected Planet, 2024

4.3
Lands

Expand protected lands to 30% by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

16% of global lands are protected

Source: Protected Planet, 2024

5.0
Clean Up Industry
Reduce 12 gigatons of industrial emissions to 4 gigatons by 2050.
5.1
Steel ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce emissions from steel production 50% by 2030, 90% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

1.9 metric tons of CO2 per metric ton of crude steel cast

Source: WorldSteel, 2023

5.2
Cement ↓ 2 Gt

Reduce emissions from cement production 25% by 2030, 90% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

0.6 metric tons of CO2 per metric ton of cement produced

5.3
Other Industries ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce emissions from other industrial sources (primarily plastics, chemicals, paper, aluminum, glass, and apparel) 60% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

5 gigatons emitted from other industries

Source: Climate TRACE, 2024

6.0
Remove Carbon
Remove 10 gigatons of carbon dioxide per year from the atmosphere.
6.1
Nature-Based Removal ↓ 5 Gt

Remove at least 3 gigatons per year by 2030 and 5 gigatons by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

0.02 gigatons of nature-based carbon removal being tracked

Source: Climate Focus, 2024

6.2
Engineered Removal ↓ 5 Gt

Remove at least 1 gigaton per year by 2030 and 5 gigatons by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Currently, 0.0002 gigatons are being removed annually

Source: CDR.fyi, 2024

7.1
Net Zero Pledges

Each country commits to reach net zero by 2050.*

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

China: net zero by 2060

U.S.: net zero by 2050

EU: net zero by 2050

India: net zero by 2070

Russia: net zero by 2060

7.2
Action Plans

Each country is on track to cut emissions in half by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

2030 trajectory:

China: 4°C

US: 3°C

EU: 2°C

India: 4°C

Russia: 4°C

 

Source: Climate Action Tracker, 2023

7.3
Carbon Price

National prices on greenhouse gases are set at a minimum of $75 per ton, rising 5% annually.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Global average price: $33 per ton

23% of global emissions are covered by a carbon pricing mechanism

 

7.4
Subsidies

Direct subsidies to fossil fuel companies are eliminated.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

$1.3 trillion in explicit fossil fuel subsidies globally

7.5
Methane

Control flaring, prohibit venting, and mandate prompt capping of methane leaks.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Countries representing 50% of global methane emissions have signed the global methane pledge

Source: Global Methane Pledge, 2024

7.6
Refrigerants

Countries commit to phasing out hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs).

Updated April 2024
On Track

All five major emitters have ratified the Kigali amendment

8.1
Voters

The climate crisis becomes a top-three issue.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Climate’s rank as top issue: seventh globally

Source: Ipsos, 2023

 

8.2
Government

A majority of key government officials support the drive to net zero.

Updated April 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

8.3
Business

100% of Fortune Global 500 companies commit to reach net zero by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

9.2% of Fortune Global 500 Companies have a net zero commitment

Source: Speed & Scale, 2024

Data is pulled from Fortune Global 500 websites to track emissions targets of each corporation

8.4
Education Equity

The world achieves universal primary and secondary education by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

77% of students complete lower secondary school

Source: World Bank, 2023

8.5
Health Equity

The world eliminates gaps in pollution-linked mortality rates among racial and socioeconomic groups by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

2.3 years (global average loss of life due to air pollution)

Source: Air Quality Life Index (AQLI), 2023

8.6
Economic Equity

The global clean energy transition creates 65 million fairly distributed new jobs by 2040, outpacing the loss of fossil fuel jobs.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

13.7 million people employed directly and indirectly

9.1
Batteries

10,000 GWh of batteries are produced annually at less than $80 per kWh by 2035.

Updated April 2024
On Track

Production: 2,592 per GWh

Price: $139 per kWh 

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

9.2
Electricity

The cost of zero-emissions baseload power is lowered to $0.02 per kWh by 2030.

Updated April 2024
On Track

$0.03 per kWh for utility-scale onshore wind

$0.05 per kWh for utility-scale solar PV

9.3
Green Hydrogen

Cost of producing hydrogen from zero-emissions sources drops to $2 per kg by 2030, $1 per kg by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

$2-$12 per kg, not currently produced at scale

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

9.4
Carbon Removal

Cost of engineered carbon dioxide removal falls to $100 per ton by 2030, $50 per ton by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Average of $715 per ton of carbon removed, not at scale

Source: CDR.fyi, 2024

9.5
Carbon-Neutral Fuels

Cost of synthetic fuel drops to $2.50 per gallon for jet fuel and $3.50 for gasoline by 2035.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Jet Fuel: $2.94 (Traditional) vs. $7.35 (Sustainable)

Vehicle Fuel: $4.02 (Diesel) vs. $4.76 (Biodiesel)

Source: International Air Transport Association, BloombergNEF, and Alternative Fuels Data Center, 2023

Diesel and Biodiesel are U.S. prices

10.1
Financial Incentives

Global government support and incentives for clean energy expand to $600 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

10.2
Government R&D

Public investment in sustainability research and development increases to $120 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Low carbon R&D globally: $23 billion

10.3
Venture Capital

Private investment into cleantech startups totals $50 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Achieved

$51 billion invested in climate tech startups

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

10.4
Project Financing

Clean energy project financing rises to $1 trillion per year.

Updated April 2024
On Track

Clean energy financing is at an all-time high, hitting $743 billion

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

10.5
Philanthropy

Philanthropic dollars for tackling emissions grow to $30 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Less than 2% (between $8 billion and $13 billion) of philanthropic giving is dedicated to climate change mitigation

Welcome to Zeroing In by Speed & Scale, where we cut through the noise to deliver a data-driven update on progress toward net zero.

NEW OUTLOOK ON ENERGY: Governments and companies must invest an additional $34 trillion in the clean energy transition by 2050 to achieve net-zero emissions, according to BNEF’s New Energy Outlook report. Despite a 20% growth in green investment last year, it falls short of the required $1.5 trillion annually for this decade. The report emphasizes the urgency for accelerated spending to reduce emissions, especially as climate policies face political challenges. Two scenarios are outlined: the economic transition scenario, which puts the world on course to warm 2.6 degrees, and the net-zero scenario in which we reach net zero by 2050. To achieve net zero, emissions have to peak this year across all industries—that means investing in global low-carbon energy three times as much as we invest in fossil fuels moving forward.

OKRs in the News

🚗 1.0 – Electrify Transportation

  • Good News on EV Industry Growth: Although Tesla sales declined, the EV market is still chugging along. Sales for six of the top 10 electric vehicle manufacturers in the U.S. increased compared to the previous year (Bloomberg).

  • Chinese EV Woes: Chinese automakers are facing barriers to entry in both the U.S. and EU, with both regions announcing heightened tariffs (Reuters).

  • The Road Has Been 10 Years Long: President Xi Jinping gave a speech 10 years ago that set China on the course to EV domination, betting on fuel efficient and alternative fuel vehicles before the U.S. or Europe. Now, the rest of the world is working to catch up (Bloomberg).

  • BYD’s The Shark: BYD has launched The Shark, a hybrid truck with a video ad that’s American West-themed (BYD).

  • BYD’s Train, Too: BYD has also introduced a new hybrid powertrain that can travel more than 2,000 kilometers (about 1,250 miles) without needing to recharge or refuel (Bloomberg).


💡 2.0 – Decarbonize the Grid

  • IRA Energy Impact: While the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) led to a monumental surge in clean energy investment, it’s becoming apparent that we need to address the outdated electricity market structures as well to increase the transmission capacity of the grid, argues Brian Deese (Atlantic).

  • Battery Powered: China has put the first large-scale, sodium-ion battery into operation—a monumental step for achieving low-cost, scalable energy storage. This is the first phase in a 100-MWh project in southwestern China that will meet the electricity needs of 35,000 residential customers using clean power once completed (CNEV Post).

  • Promise of Nuclear Power: Interest and investment in nuclear power is rising around the world, but the World Bank is reluctant to get in on the action, which may create market barriers and slow down this development (Cipher).

  • Offshore Wind Boost: Homecoming Capital pledges $50 million to Clean Energy Terminals to develop U.S. port infrastructure for offshore wind projects, aiming to close the gap with Europe and China (Wall Street Journal).

  • Modernize the Grid: The White House unveiled a landmark initiative to modernize America’s aging electrical infrastructure in collaboration with 21 states It aims to enhance grid resilience, reduce power outages, and facilitate the integration of clean energy sources amidst rising weather-related disruptions and increasing energy demands (CNN).

  • Shifts in Energy Use: Today, per capita, Americans burn about 55% less fossil fuel in their homes than 50 years ago, while simultaneously using almost 90% more electricity (Clean Technica).

🐄 3.0 – Fix Food

  • Responding to Rising Cocoa Prices: Ivory Coast cocoa farmers embrace smartphone technology to map farms, meeting EU regulations aimed at protecting rainforests and ensuring cocoa sustainability amidst looming challenges and potential chocolate price increases (Wall Street Journal).

  • Bacon Taste Test: Fake meat needs to stack up against the real thing on price, texture, and taste. The Washington Post explores the world of bacon alternatives (Washington Post).

    Domestic Fertilizer Projects: USDA announced it is investing $83 million across 12 states for domestic fertilizer projects that will strengthen competition for U.S. farmers, ranchers, and agricultural producers (USDA).

🌳 4.0 – Protect Nature

  • Orange Rivers: Climate change is turning numerous rivers in Alaska orange, with potentially disastrous effects on the region’s ecology and rural communities, according to a recent study. Researchers identified over 75 rivers exhibiting changes in their chemistry (Washington Post).

  • Melting Glacier: Satellite data indicates that warm seawater is penetrating farther beneath the Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica than anticipated, potentially accelerating its melting. Were it to fully melt, the glacier would raise global sea levels by up to two feet (Washington Post).

  • Bleaching Coral Reefs: Global coral reefs face unprecedented heat stress, resulting in widespread bleaching affecting over 60 percent of reef areas globally (New York Times).

  • But, Bison Bring Good News: A herd of 170 bison are contributing significantly to carbon capture and storage—leading to an additional 54,000 tons of carbon a year captured in 50 square kilometers of grasslands (The Guardian).

🧱 5.0 – Clean Up Industry

  • New Cement Production Method: Researchers developed a groundbreaking method to recycle cement using electric furnaces from the steel industry, potentially revolutionizing cement production and significantly reducing carbon emissions (Wall Street Journal).

  • Not Cleaning Up Industry, Yet: A recent report from the Rhodium Group points out that the U.S. industrial sector is on track to become the country’s largest source of emissions. Despite increased federal support and investments, industrial emissions are projected to decrease by only 5 to 10 percent by 2040 under current policies (Canary Media).

🧹 6.0 – Remove Carbon

  • Big Tech Teams Up to Remove Carbon: Tech giants Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Salesforce launched the Symbiosis Coalition to support the development of a nature-based carbon removal market. The coalition aims to contract up to 20 million tons of carbon removal credits (ESG Today).

  • Microsoft Carbon Removal Deal: Ørsted inked a landmark deal with Microsoft to sell an additional one million tons of carbon removal over a decade from its Avedøre Power Station, building on Microsoft’s previous commitment to buy 2.67 million tons of carbon from another power station (Ørsted).

  • Biden Advances Carbon Removal: The Biden Administration published a joint statement on voluntary carbon markets, an effort to advance the responsible development of these markets in the U.S. (The White House).

🏛️ 7.0 – Win Politics and Policy

  • Extreme Heat: Heat-related deaths have tripled since 2004, with 2,300 deaths reported in 2023 alone. OSHA is expected to propose a new rule to protect an estimated 50 million workers exposed to high temperatures, including farm laborers, construction workers, warehouse staff, and kitchen workers (New York Times).

  • A Climate Election: Former President Trump allegedly offered to reverse President Biden’s climate rules and regulations in exchange for a billion dollars in campaign funds during a dinner with oil-and-gas executives (The New Yorker).

  • IRA Subsidies Shine: Subsidies for solar power, a result of the Inflation Reduction Act, are changing the game for farmers, with $466 million flowing in 2023 through the Rural Energy for America Program (Wall Street Journal).

  • Bipartisan Momentum on Climate: Bipartisan support for a border adjustment mechanism signals potential progress in climate policy despite partisan divides (Heatmap News).

  • Farm Bill: House Agriculture Chair Glenn Thompson proposed a five-year farm bill. Clashes over climate-related funding and the USDA’s nutrition assistance programs are expected (E&E News).

🏃 8.0 – Turn Movements into Action

  • Value in Sustainability: A survey by Morgan Stanley found that more than 80% of companies anticipate financial benefits from sustainability strategies over the next five years, including higher profitability and revenue, improved cash generation, and better access to capital (ESG Today).

  • International Inequity in Climate Financing: Wealthy nations reap economic gains from a climate finance program meant for developing countries, channeling funds back into their own economies through loans and grants, undermining the program’s intended support for vulnerable nations (Reuters).

  • Climate Action Collaboration: Kenya plans to collaborate with the U.S. to establish a green manufacturing hub, aiming to boost clean energy production, battery and EV supply chains, and attract U.S. investments in renewable-powered factories (Washington Post).

9.0 – Innovate!

  • The Cleanest Hydrogen Yet: Hysata, an Australian startup, developed a groundbreaking technology to produce hydrogen fuel cleanly and cost-effectively. By mimicking capillary action found in trees, their process splits water into hydrogen and oxygen with 95% efficiency (Yahoo Finance).

  • Solar Power is King: Solar power’s lowering costs is unlocking a wave of follow-on investment opportunities. From solar desalination to supersonic flight, the future is bright (Casey Handmer).

  • Thermal Energy is Promising: Thermal batteries offer a promising solution to meet the growing demand for industrial heat while reducing reliance on fossil fuels. Companies are developing innovative systems that store electricity as heat, providing a consistent power source for industries (MIT).

💰 10.0 – Invest!

  • Financial Risk of Climate Change: As climate change leads to increasingly severe weather events, insurance companies are facing financial losses, even in regions traditionally considered low-risk for hurricanes and wildfires (New York Times).

  • South East Asia Off Track: Southeast Asia falls short on green investments to cut emissions, requiring new policies and financial mechanisms, according to Bain & Company. Although green investment saw a 20% increase last year, it remains significantly below the $1.5 trillion target needed for this decade (Reuters).

OKR Highlight

OKR Highlight: 10.0 Invest!


According to the BNEF report, achieving net-zero emissions by 2050 would require an additional 19% in total costs compared to scenarios where net zero is not reached. However, failing to mitigate climate change will result in significant economic damages from extreme weather events. A recent study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research projected annual global economic costs between $19 trillion and $59 trillion by 2050, regardless of emissions reduction efforts.

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