An Action Plan for Solving Our Climate Crisis Now

1.0
Electrify Transportation
Reduce 8 gigatons of transportation emissions to 2 gigatons by 2050.
1.1
Price

Achieve price parity between EVs and gas-powered vehicles in the U.S. by 2024, in India and China by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

$54,288 (average EV) vs. $47,209 (average full-size car) in the U.S.

Source: Kelley Blue Book, 2023

1.2
Cars

Increase EV sales to 50% of all new car sales by 2030, 95% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
On Track

EV share of car sales was 17.7% in 2023

(BEVs and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

1.3
Buses

Electrify all new buses by 2025.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

43% of new bus purchases were electric in 2023

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.4
Trucks

Increase sales of zero-emissions medium and heavy trucks to 30% of all new truck sales by 2030; 95% by 2045.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Electric share of global truck sales was 2% in 2023

(BEVs, FCVs, and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.5
Miles ↓ 5 Gt

Increase miles driven by electric vehicles (two- and three-wheelers, cars, buses, and trucks) to 50% of the global total by 2040, 95% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

EV global share of miles driven across road vehicles in 2022: 10.4%

(BEVs, FCVs, and PHEVs)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

1.6
Planes ↓ 0.3 Gt

Increase low-carbon fuel (SAF) to 20% of all aviation fuel by 2025; zero-emissions fuel to 40% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

0.4% of fuel use is low carbon (SAF)

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

1.7
Maritime ↓ 0.6 Gt

Shift all new construction to “zero-ready” ships by 2030; zero out emissions for the shipping industry by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Zero percent of new ships are carbon-neutral

Source: Global Martime Forum, 2023

2.0
Decarbonize the Grid
Reduce 24 gigatons of global electricity and heating emissions to 3 gigatons by 2050.
2.1
Zero Emissions ↓ 16.5 Gt

Tap emissions-free sources to generate 50% of electricity worldwide by 2025, 90% by 2035.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

39% of electricity came from emissions free sources in 2022

Source: Energy Institute, 2023

2.2
Solar & Wind

Make solar and wind cheaper than fossil fuels in all countries by 2025.

Updated June 2024
On Track

59% of the world’s population lives in nations where renewable sources are cheaper than fossil fuels

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

2.3
Storage

Electricity storage drops below $50 per kWh for short duration (4–24 hours) by 2025, $10 per kWh for long duration (14–30 days) by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Short-term storage: $263/kWh

Long-term storage: New technologies needed

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

2.4
Coal & Gas

Eliminate new coal and gas plants from 2024 on; retire or zero out emissions in existing plants by 2025 for coal and by 2035 for gas.*

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Now in operation globally: 6,580 coal-fired plants and 9,278 gas and oil plants

Source: Global Energy Monitor, 2024

As of 2023, separate figures for oil and gas plants are not available.

 

2.5
Methane Emissions ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce flaring and eliminate leaks and venting from coal, oil, and gas sites by 2025.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Methane emissions from the energy sector were 3 gigatons in 2023

2.6
Heating & Cooking ↓ 1.5 Gt

Cut fossil fuels for heating and cooking in half by 2040.*

Updated April 2024
Failing

In 2021, building heating generated 2.5 Gt of emissions and over 7 billion people used fossil fuels for cooking

2.7
Cleaner Economy

Triple the ratio of GDP to fossil fuel consumption.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Global average: $241 of GDP per Exajoule of Fossil Fuel Consumption

3.0
Fix Food
Reduce 9 gigatons of agricultural emissions to 2 gigatons by 2050.
3.1
Farm Soils ↓ 2 Gt

Improve soil health by increasing carbon content in topsoils to a minimum of 3% by 2035.

Updated May 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

3.2
Fertilizers ↓ 0.5 Gt

Stop overuse of nitrogen-based fertilizers and develop cleaner alternatives to cut emissions in half by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

The world uses 65.5 kilograms per hectare of nitrogen-based fertilizers

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization and Our World in Data, 2023

3.3
Cows ↓ 3 Gt

Cut emissions from beef and dairy consumption by 25% by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

3.3 gigatons of emissions from beef and dairy in 2021

3.4
Rice ↓ 0.5 Gt

Reduce methane and nitrous oxide from rice farming by 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

1.1 gigaton of CO2e resulting from rice production

Source: Our World in Data, 2024

3.5
Food Waste ↓ 1 Gt

Cut food waste to 10% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

38% of food in the US is wasted

Source: ReFed, 2022

4.0
Protect Nature
Go from 6 gigatons of emissions to -1 gigatons by 2050.
4.1
Forests ↓ 6 Gt

Achieve net zero deforestation by 2030; end logging and other destructive practices in primary forests.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

17.6 million hectares of permanent tree cover loss

Source: Global Forest Watch, 2022

4.2
Oceans ↓ 1 Gt

Protect 30% of oceans by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

8.2% of coastal oceans are protected

Source: Protected Planet, 2024

4.3
Lands

Expand protected lands to 30% by 2030, 50% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

16% of global lands are protected

Source: Protected Planet, 2024

5.0
Clean Up Industry
Reduce 12 gigatons of industrial emissions to 4 gigatons by 2050.
5.1
Steel ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce emissions from steel production 50% by 2030, 90% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

1.9 metric tons of CO2 per metric ton of crude steel cast

Source: WorldSteel, 2023

5.2
Cement ↓ 2 Gt

Reduce emissions from cement production 25% by 2030, 90% by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

0.6 metric tons of CO2 per metric ton of cement produced

5.3
Other Industries ↓ 3 Gt

Reduce emissions from other industrial sources (primarily plastics, chemicals, paper, aluminum, glass, and apparel) 60% by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

5 gigatons emitted from other industries

Source: Climate TRACE, 2024

6.0
Remove Carbon
Remove 10 gigatons of carbon dioxide per year from the atmosphere.
6.1
Nature-Based Removal ↓ 5 Gt

Remove at least 3 gigatons per year by 2030 and 5 gigatons by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

0.02 gigatons of nature-based carbon removal being tracked

Source: Climate Focus, 2024

6.2
Engineered Removal ↓ 5 Gt

Remove at least 1 gigaton per year by 2030 and 5 gigatons by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Currently, 0.0002 gigatons are being removed annually

Source: CDR.fyi, 2024

7.1
Net Zero Pledges

Each country commits to reach net zero by 2050.*

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

China: net zero by 2060

U.S.: net zero by 2050

EU: net zero by 2050

India: net zero by 2070

Russia: net zero by 2060

7.2
Action Plans

Each country is on track to cut emissions in half by 2030.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

2030 trajectory:

China: 4°C

US: 3°C

EU: 2°C

India: 4°C

Russia: 4°C

 

Source: Climate Action Tracker, 2023

7.3
Carbon Price

National prices on greenhouse gases are set at a minimum of $75 per ton, rising 5% annually.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Global average price: $33 per ton

23% of global emissions are covered by a carbon pricing mechanism

 

7.4
Subsidies

Direct subsidies to fossil fuel companies are eliminated.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

$1.3 trillion in explicit fossil fuel subsidies globally

7.5
Methane

Control flaring, prohibit venting, and mandate prompt capping of methane leaks.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Countries representing 50% of global methane emissions have signed the global methane pledge

Source: Global Methane Pledge, 2024

7.6
Refrigerants

Countries commit to phasing out hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs).

Updated April 2024
On Track

All five major emitters have ratified the Kigali amendment

8.1
Voters

The climate crisis becomes a top-three issue.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Climate’s rank as top issue: seventh globally

Source: Ipsos, 2023

 

8.2
Government

A majority of key government officials support the drive to net zero.

Updated April 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

8.3
Business

100% of Fortune Global 500 companies commit to reach net zero by 2050.

Updated April 2024
Failing

9.2% of Fortune Global 500 Companies have a net zero commitment

Source: Speed & Scale, 2024

Data is pulled from Fortune Global 500 websites to track emissions targets of each corporation

8.4
Education Equity

The world achieves universal primary and secondary education by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

77% of students complete lower secondary school

Source: World Bank, 2023

8.5
Health Equity

The world eliminates gaps in pollution-linked mortality rates among racial and socioeconomic groups by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

2.3 years (global average loss of life due to air pollution)

Source: Air Quality Life Index (AQLI), 2023

8.6
Economic Equity

The global clean energy transition creates 65 million fairly distributed new jobs by 2040, outpacing the loss of fossil fuel jobs.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

13.7 million people employed directly and indirectly

9.1
Batteries

10,000 GWh of batteries are produced annually at less than $80 per kWh by 2035.

Updated April 2024
On Track

Production: 2,592 per GWh

Price: $139 per kWh 

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

9.2
Electricity

The cost of zero-emissions baseload power is lowered to $0.02 per kWh by 2030.

Updated April 2024
On Track

$0.03 per kWh for utility-scale onshore wind

$0.05 per kWh for utility-scale solar PV

9.3
Green Hydrogen

Cost of producing hydrogen from zero-emissions sources drops to $2 per kg by 2030, $1 per kg by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Failing

$2-$12 per kg, not currently produced at scale

Source: BloombergNEF, 2023

9.4
Carbon Removal

Cost of engineered carbon dioxide removal falls to $100 per ton by 2030, $50 per ton by 2040.

Updated April 2024
Code Red

Average of $715 per ton of carbon removed, not at scale

Source: CDR.fyi, 2024

9.5
Carbon-Neutral Fuels

Cost of synthetic fuel drops to $2.50 per gallon for jet fuel and $3.50 for gasoline by 2035.

Updated April 2024
Failing

Jet Fuel: $2.94 (Traditional) vs. $7.35 (Sustainable)

Vehicle Fuel: $4.02 (Diesel) vs. $4.76 (Biodiesel)

Source: International Air Transport Association, BloombergNEF, and Alternative Fuels Data Center, 2023

Diesel and Biodiesel are U.S. prices

10.1
Financial Incentives

Global government support and incentives for clean energy expand to $600 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Limited Data

Limited Data

10.2
Government R&D

Public investment in sustainability research and development increases to $120 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Insufficient Progress

Low carbon R&D globally: $23 billion

10.3
Venture Capital

Private investment into cleantech startups totals $50 billion per year.

Updated April 2024
Achieved

$51 billion invested in climate tech startups

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

10.4
Project Financing

Clean energy project financing rises to $1 trillion per year.

Updated April 2024
On Track

Clean energy financing is at an all-time high, hitting $743 billion

Source: BloombergNEF, 2024

10.5
Philanthropy

Philanthropic dollars for tackling emissions grow to $30 billion per year.

Updated January 2025
Insufficient Progress

Less than 2% (between $8 billion and $13 billion) of philanthropic giving is dedicated to climate change mitigation

This weeks edition covers the global race to expand nuclear power, a local push to increase tire recycling, and new data on VC electrification deals. Read on for the latest progress toward net zero.

WE’RE SEEING AN UNPRECENTED GLOBAL DEMAND FOR CRITICAL MINERALSincluding lithium, graphite, and rare earths—that are essential for over 200 products, from military and medical equipment to high tech electronics, cellphones, and fiber optic cables (see page 12 of GAO Report, here).

While President Donald Trump has recently made overtures to secure mineral rights in Greenland and Ukraine, which holds one third of Europe’s lithium reserves and 20 percent of global graphite reserves, his statements underscore a deeper reality: Securing critical minerals has become a strategic imperative for global superpowers.

These minerals are also key components of clean technologies, notably EV batteries, wind turbines, and solar panels. As the deployment of clean technologies continues to expand, demand for these minerals is projected to surge 500 percent by 2050. At present, China—a leader in EV innovation and production and the runaway leader in EV sales—controls 60 percent of global mining and 85 percent of global refining.

A number of technologies now on the horizon could help improve the speed and scale of mineral mining–and minimize its negative environmental impacts. Bio-mining and direct lithium extraction will help countries mine without acid runoff. AI and better satellite imaging sensors are speeding up mineral deposit discovery, while undersea mining and asteroid mining are bringing the extraction of new types of deposits closer to reality. On the demand side, improved recycling techniques and new alternative chemistries are promising ways to reduce the global appetite for these minerals.

To meet the growing need for critical minerals, the challenge is to supercharge technological advancements to extract them more efficiently and with less harm.

OKRs in the News

🚗 1.0 – Electrify Transportation

  • Nikola’s Final Exit: Once touted as the “Tesla of trucks,” Nikola has filed for bankruptcy after years of financial struggles and leadership turmoil. Despite delivering 200 hydrogen-powered trucks last year, the company couldn’t overcome investor skepticism from dwindling cash reserves and a $1 billion-plus debt load (New York Times).

  • EVs Take a Bite Out of Oil: Thanks to surging EV adoption, alternative fuels, and a cooling economy, China’s oil demand has stalled at eight million barrels per day—barely above 2019 levels. The IEA says that China’s oil consumption may have already peaked, with half the country’s new car sales now electric. (Bloomberg).

   💡 2.0 – Decarbonize the Grid

OKR Highlight

China is now the global leader in nuclear capacity under construction, according to a new International Energy Agency report. Within five years, the IEA projects that China will overtake the U.S. and Europe to become the world’s leader in nuclear power.


The U.S., the current nuclear power generation leader, has no reactors under construction (though a number of closed reactors are slated to re-open). But U.S. nuclear development is expected to regain momentum as it vies with China to power the rapidly growing, energy-intensive artificial intelligence industry.


The two nations are also racing to develop nuclear fusion, with China outspending the U.S. by $200-$700 million annually, underscoring the need for greater U.S. investment to stay competitive on both fronts.


Globally, more than 40 countries have concrete plans to launch or expand their nuclear fleets this year. This surge is paramount for meeting Speed & Scale’s key result 2.1: Zero Emissions, which calls for emissions-free sources to generate  90 percent of global electricity by 2035.

  • Who Controls Your Utility Bill?: As AI data centers and electrification drive surging power demand, public utility commissions (PUCs) will play a critical role in shaping the energy future of the U.S. On Heatmap’s Shift Key podcast, PowerLines founder Charles Hua warns that without stronger oversight, states doubling down on fossil fuels risk saddling consumers with rising bills and volatile gas prices (Shift Key).

  • Natural Gas on a Hot Streak: As cold weather boosted demand and eroded last year’s supply glut, natural gas futures soared 39 percent in February. Prices are now up 164 percent year-over-year, raising costs for grids reliant on natural gas (Wall Street Journal).

🐄 3.0 – Fix Food

  • Fake It Till You Make It Healthy: Fake-meat products from Beyond Meat and Impossible Foods have less saturated fat and more fiber than traditional red meat, but they also come with significantly higher sodium levels. While early studies suggest potential health benefits to these beef alternatives, experts say that beans, lentils, and other whole plant proteins remain the healthiest choices (New York Times).

  • Better Burgers, Fewer Burps: Grill’d’s Gamechanger burger reduces methane emissions by up to 67 percent by feeding cows Asparagopsis, a Tasmanian seaweed that curbs production of this potent greenhouse gas (Grilld).

🌳 4.0 – Protect Nature

  • Green, But Not Guaranteed: At a UN biodiversity conference in Rome, more than 140 countries agreed to raise $200 billion annually by 2030 but postponed adoption of a new global nature fund to 2028. While the strategy emphasizes innovative financing and private sector involvement, some developing nations argue that it lacks immediate support for urgent conservation efforts (Bloomberg).

  • California’s Call for Recovery: In a letter to Congressional leaders, California Governor Gavin Newsom asked for $40 billion in federal aid for wildfire recovery. The letter emphasized the fires’ widespread devastation and long-term economic impact, and urged immediate support for housing, business relief, and public assistance (CNN).

🧱 5.0 – Clean Up Industry

  • Trash Travels First Class: After two years of global investigation, Alexander Clapp reports on how Western nations mask waste exports as recycling and shift environmental harm to poorer countries. Discarded plastics, electronics, and industrial waste travel thousands of miles, often ending up in unregulated dumps or makeshift recycling operations (New York Times).

  • Mining the Final Frontier: The House Natural Resources Committee held a hearing on the rapid progress of space mining, a stark contrast to the regulatory challenges that hinder domestic mining. Discussions focused on U.S. mineral dependence, permitting reform, and space mining’s potential to bolster supply chains and national security (House Committee on Natural Resources).

🧹 6.0 – Remove Carbon

  • Now Boarding – Carbon Capture: United Airlines is investing in direct air capture startup Heirloom, securing rights to 500,000 tons of CO2 for sequestration or cleaner jet fuel. As aviation emissions grow, the deal marks United’s first DAC investment under its Sustainable Flight Fund, which supports scalable carbon removal solutions (Axios).

  • Rethinking Carbon Removal: Defining just what qualifies as carbon dioxide removal (CDR) remains a challenge, as many approaches store carbon without directly removing it from the atmosphere. Experts propose evaluating CDR investments based on their contribution to a net-zero future, their ability to become net-negative, their quantifiability, and their potential for innovation (Carbon Plan).

🏛️ 7.0 – Win Politics And Policy


  • India’s $1B Solar Shield: India is finalizing a $1 billion subsidy to boost domestic solar manufacturing and cut reliance on Chinese imports. Targeting the silicon wafers used in solar cells and the large blocks from which wafers are cut, the plan aims to replicate India’s mobile manufacturing success while strengthening energy security (Bloomberg).

  • Go with the Hydro Flow: Charles Yang, founder of the Center for Industrial Strategy, reasons that a proposed federal “hydropower czar” could streamline permitting, modernize aging dams, and expand U.S. hydropower to meet rising electricity demand. By leveraging federal control, hydropower could also boost domestic manufacturing and strengthen critical energy and defense supply chains (Utility Dive).

  • Rise of Conservative Eco-Warriors: The New York Post highlighted a new wave of right-leaning environmentalists pushing for market-driven climate solutions, chiefly nuclear, carbon capture, and energy independence. While avoiding the “C” word, these groups aim to shape policy under Trump. They’re showing that sustainability isn’t just a left-wing issue (New York Post).

🏃 8.0 – Turn Movements Into Action

  • Harvesting the Truth: Farmers and environmental groups are suing the U.S. Department of Agriculture for deleting climate data and freezing conservation funding, actions that they say disrupt agricultural planning. The lawsuit argues that the data purge violates federal law and denies farmers critical resources to adapt to extreme weather and climate risks (New York Times).

  • Reporting Rules Get a Trim: In a move to cut red tape and boost competitiveness, the EU is scaling back corporate climate reporting, exempting 80 percent of affected companies and delaying requirements by two years. Officials insist they aren’t abandoning Green Deal goals, but critics see the move as a step back from sustainability commitments (New York Times).

  • BlackRock’s Exit from ESG: Facing political and legal pressure, BlackRock has exited climate coalitions, scrapped DEI targets, and halted ESG fund launches. Once a leader in sustainable investing, the $11.6 trillion asset manager is now focused on distancing itself from “woke capitalism” while maintaining strong financial results (Wall Street Journal).


💡Local progress spotlight!

Residents of Polk County, Florida, took advantage of a free tire collection event, helping to reduce waste and prevent illegal dumping. With Americans discarding approximately 280 million tires each year—about one per person in the U.S.—local initiatives provide a convenient and eco-friendly option that promotes recycling and keeps tires out of landfills.


Check out this Instagram reel from Business Insider on how one Nigerian company is recycling millions of tires to create rubber bricks!

9.0 – Innovate!

  • Ice, Ice, Battery: Once limited to commercial buildings, ice batteries are now poised to enter homes as a cheaper, longer-lasting alternative to lithium-ion storage. By freezing water when energy is cheap and using it for cooling when prices spike, they help cut costs and emissions while easing strain on the power grid (Washington Post).

  • AI Eyes on Wildfires: AI-powered cameras are transforming wildfire detection, spotting blazes faster than 911 calls and enabling quicker firefighter response. Already deployed in high-risk areas, these systems’ 24/7 monitoring helps prevent disaster by alerting emergency teams before fires spread (Wall Street Journal).

  • Grid Gets a Glow-Up: Venture capital investment in electrification has surged since 2018, with a sharp rise in deals across clean energy, grid modernization, and digitalization. As AI, EVs, and energy demand grow, startups developing smarter, more efficient power solutions are attracting record funding to boost grid capacity without costly expansion (Bloomberg).

💰 10.0 – Invest!

  • Banking on a Green Future: The World Bank’s climate-focused funding—set to reach 45 percent of its portfolio—faces uncertainty as a second Trump administration could pull U.S. support. At risk are 18 percent of the World Bank’s budget and its AAA credit rating. To retain critical backing, President Ajay Banga is emphasizing the Bank’s gas and nuclear investments. Meanwhile, emerging economies are preparing to turn to China for funding (New York Times).

  • Sustaining Sustainability: Despite a new administration in Washington that is openly skeptical of ESG, a survey found that 77 percent of CFOs plan to maintain or increase sustainability investments, with their focus shifting from ESG to business operations and stakeholder priorities. Companies that integrate sustainability into strategy are reporting higher expected revenue and profitability. CFOs increasingly view ESG risk as a significant risk management factor (ESG Today).

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